Stocks Information

Slight Decline of USD/CAD

Advertisements

The latest job market data released by the U.SBureau of Labor Statistics reveals that January's non-farm payrolls grew by just 143,000, marking the lowest increase in three months and falling short of the anticipated 175,000. Interestingly, the employment figures for December were significantly revised upwards from 256,000 to 307,000, while November's data was also adjustedCollectively, November and December saw revisions totaling 100,000 additional jobsThe unemployment rate for January stands at 4%, lower than both expectations and the previous month's 4.1%. However, it is crucial to note that due to population adjustments, this unemployment rate data may not be directly comparable to previous monthsDespite this, the Bureau asserted that when excluding the effects of the population adjustment, the unemployment rate has indeed decreased since DecemberIn the statement, it was also mentioned that the devastating fires in Los Angeles and severe winter weather across other parts of the U.S. did not have a significant impact on January's employment figuresNonetheless, almost 600,000 individuals were reported to have lost their jobs due to harsh weather conditions, the highest level recorded in four yearsAdditionally, about 1.2 million people who usually work full-time found themselves limited to part-time roles due to weather disruptions.

The release of the non-farm payroll report has prompted several Federal Reserve officials to air their thoughts, indicating that given the stability of the U.S. job market, they are in no rush to lower interest ratesAccording to Fed Governor Christopher Waller, this data illustrates a healthy labor market, which has neither weakened nor shown signs of overheatingHe emphasized that U.S. policies and their potential economic impacts remain clouded by considerable uncertaintyRecent progress on inflation has been slow and inconsistent, with rates still remaining quite highMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari echoed these sentiments, stating that the uncertainty surrounding U.S. policy places the Federal Reserve in a position of vigilance, rather than action

Advertisements

He pointed out that the forthcoming inflation data in the next couple of months will be crucial for shaping Fed policyFurthermore, he remarked, “We are in a good position to wait until we have more information regarding tariffs, immigration, and taxation.”

As markets look ahead, key data points to watch include the preliminary GDP figures for the UK’s fourth quarter and the Sentix investor confidence index for the Eurozone in February, both of which could influence investing sentiment and market dynamics significantly.

The performance of gold against the U.S. dollar remains of interestLast Friday, gold experienced slight fluctuations and closed with minor gains, trading close to 2879. The supportive factors for the gold price during that period included short-covering by bearish traders and the disappointing non-farm payroll results that evening boosted demand for goldAdditionally, the prevailing risk aversion due to trade uncertainties continued to provide a safety net for goldHowever, the rebound of the U.S. dollar index capped gold's upward trajectoryTraders are expected to keep a close eye on resistance around the 2900 range and support around 2860.

Turning to the Australian dollar, the foreign exchange market saw a weakening trend for AUD/USD last Friday, entering a phase of turbulent declinesAfter a day of fluctuations, it closed slightly lower, hovering near 0.6270. From a market perspective, the prior gains in the Australian dollar prompted profit-taking, leading investors to liquidate their positions, putting downward pressure on the currencyMoreover, at around 0.6300, technical indicators signaled clear selling pressure, exacerbating the decline in value for the Australian dollarOn the other hand, the U.S. dollar index gained ground on short-covering and decreased bearish momentum, enticing investors to buy dollars, which weakened the AUD in dollar termsAdditionally, the growing uncertainty of the global economic outlook has fueled risk-averse sentiment, causing investors to retreat into safer assets, leading to further pressure on the Australian dollar

Advertisements

Advertisements

Advertisements

Advertisements


Leave a Reply